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Ruth Sanderson - COVID-19: Hamilton public health says hospitalizations in current wave to peak in early May - globalnews.ca - city Sanderson
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COVID-19: Hamilton public health says hospitalizations in current wave to peak in early May
COVID-19 hospitalizations connected with current wave of the pandemic will likely peak in early May and remain high until the end of June.The latest Scarsin forecasting for Hamilton, presented during the city’s Board of Health meeting on Monday, was characterized as a “good news story” with the potential for just 20 intensive care (ICU) admissions from just under 300 hospitalizations between now and the end of the August.“Overall new hospital admissions of Hamiltonians are predicted to peak at approximately six per day in early May, which is earlier than we previously forecast,” HPHS epidemiologist Ruth Sanderson told board members. Ontario COVID numbers: 1,423 people in hospital, 211 in intensive care “There is … some uncertainty of the trajectory and admissions could peak at nearly eight per day or down to where we are now … four hospitalizations per day.”The peak of the current wave, fueled by the Omicron subvariant BA.2, is expected to be about half of what the initial Omicron wave was in mid-January.The new scenario is based on the continuation of the province’s mask requirements in high-risk settings and rollout of fourth COVID vaccine doses between now and the end of the year.HPHS revised their April prediction on what age group will most likely be hospitalized in the next three months shifting from just those aged 60 to 79 to people aged 60-plus.“So in total, those 60 and older will make up over 85 per cent of new hospital admissions between now and the end of August,” Sanderson said.The Scarsin data suggests that 64 per cent of those admitted to ICUs will be aged between 60 and 79.Most of the estimated 42 COVID-related deaths expected between May 2 and Aug.
Hamilton Covid - Ruth Sanderson - BA.2 variant, waning immunity to push ‘resurgence’ of Hamilton COVID-19 infections: public health - globalnews.ca - county Hamilton - city Sanderson
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BA.2 variant, waning immunity to push ‘resurgence’ of Hamilton COVID-19 infections: public health
COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations through the spring of 2022 due to increased transmission of BA.2 variant and relaxed public health measures.During a board of health meeting on Monday, the latest Scarsin forecasting is suggesting COVID-19 will continue to circulate in the city well into June and that residents will be more susceptible to infection with immunity waning.Current epidemiological data suggests the city is now on course with a so-called “resurgence scenario” — the worst of two forecasts presented to city councillors in March — that could produce 400 new COVID hospitalizations between now and the end of June. Ontario COVID update: 857 people in hospital, 168 in intensive care “New hospital admissions are likely to continue into the summer and may reach almost six per day,” Hamilton public heath epidemiologist Ruth Sanderson told councillors.The updated numbers suggest the impact of Omicron subvariant BA.2 represents around 45 per cent of all cases now sprouting up in Hamilton as of the end of March.It’s expected that overall COVID case numbers in the next few months will be half of the peak seen during the Omicron wave in mid-January with the latest wave expected to hit a high in early May of about 650 cases per week.Peak hospitalizations are also expected to be half of the 14 admitted per week in mid-January.Those aged between 60 and 79 are the demographic most likely to be impacted by potential hospitalization during the next wave.It’s estimated 16 COVID-related deaths are possible between now and the end of June.Hamilton’s medical officer of health Dr.
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