COVID-19 case numbers in the last few weeks of the province’s stay-at-home order.Dr. Dominik Mertz said new modelling shows that one of the city’s “most plausible scenarios” could be about half the current average cases per 100,000 population, which is 30.“Based on this model, we will be roughly 10 new cases per 100,000 by the end of June, which is still more than we would have had between the second and third wave,” Mertz said.