For the second time in four years, a professor at the University of Waterloo has created a cheat code for improving the odds at winning Tim Hortons Roll Up to Win contest.
Michael Wallace, an associate professor specializing in statistics at the University of Waterloo, studied the contest and believes that the best time to play is at 3:16 a.m.
while the worst time to roll is between 11 a.m. and 12 p.m. Read more: Spoiled $10,000 Tim Hortons prize leaves ‘sour taste’ for some Maritime customers “I played 30 rolls at what I calculated to be the best time that I played, 30 rolls of what I calculated to be the worst time,” he explained. “And so at the worst time, I won five times out of 30, so about one in six.
And at the best time I won 23 times out of 30. “So my win rate was about five times higher playing at the optimal time or nearly 80 per cent.” Wallace cautions that these times may change now that he has let the cat out of the bag. “Because I’m now telling people when to play, we’re in an interesting situation as this is actually an example of a kind of game theory problem where if everyone knows the best time to play is 3:16 a.m., that could make it the worst time to play,” he said.