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Delta variant may cause steep increase in cases, deaths in fall, models show

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LOS ANGELES - As cases of the novel coronavirus and its delta variant continue to increase, a new projection model shows there are no signs of the hyper-contagious variant slowing down — foreshadowing that the pandemic may not be over as quickly as many hoped.The projections, released Wednesday by the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, show a continued and accelerated increase in cases and deaths, with numbers peaking in mid-October.

The latest projections combine 10 mathematical models to create an ensemble projection, with four scenarios. The scenarios are based on how much of the population gets vaccinated and how quickly the variant spreads.Researchers at the hub work with the U.S.

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COVID-19
United States
United States
Cases: 46 252 513
Deaths: 750 423
Recovered: 0
India
India
Cases: 34 321 025
Deaths: 459 652
Recovered: 0
Brazil
Brazil
Cases: 21 835 785
Deaths: 608 235
Recovered: 0
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
Cases: 9 215 683
Deaths: 141 607
Recovered: 0
Russia
Russia
Cases: 8 494 589
Deaths: 237 619
Recovered: 0
Detail statistic
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